Why Does Russia Want To Invade Ukraine?
In 2022, US President Biden assessed that Russia might invade Ukraine, and after that, he warned the Russian President, Vladimir Putin, that he won’t be happy but regret it later, because War is a very threatening Hazard, and it builds days and months of tension and economic depression.
It is further speculated that Russia arranged about a total of 10,000 troops on the Frontier of Ukraine during the past months.
In mid-January of this year, Russia advanced its troops towards Belarus, which is a Country that is between Russia and Ukraine, for preparing a Huge Military Expertise this February Month.
In response to the warning issued by Biden, Putin has also demanded certain security in favor of Russia, and only if those demands are met, he might think of withdrawing his Military Forces back.
His condition is that Ukraine should not enter NATO and he also demands an agreement that NATO will withdraw its troops and its weapons from a larger part of Europe.
And the most potent thing that has to be kept in mind is that Putin takes many actions and is not a man to sit idle. He already annexed some parts of Ukraine in 2014.
THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN UKRAINE AND RUSSIA
Ukraine gained independence about 30 years ago after the break up of the Soviet Union. Since then, Ukraine has tried to combat much corruption due to the Internal Tensions occurring within the region.
Ukraine favored its connection with Western Europe more, whereas Russia sided with Eastern Europe, and built closer ties with those powers.
But the situation gradually worsened in February 2014 between the relations of Ukraine and Russia, when the violent Protestors led the Pro President of Ukraine to get ousted.
Russia purposely then, at the same time, annexed Ukraine, its region – Crimea. Russia being a Strong Power was successful at doing it, because Ukraine was going through the guidance of a Weak Government and Unprepared Military Forces.
In 2014, the Armed Forces and the conflict between Ukraine and Russia led to the death of about 14,000 people.
WHAT IS WANTED BY UKRAINE?
After the conflict and annexation of Ukraine that Russia did, Ukraine lost her faith in the Western Powers. They have gained practically nothing.
As it has gained nothing, Ukraine wanted to apply for NATO and the European Union Membership in 2024.
Ukraine demands peace, and for that, the President of Ukraine in 2019, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, campaigned for Anti-corruption and Peace in their region.
In 2021, the majority of the Ukrainians asserted that they have a feeling towards Putin that is much negative.
WHY IS PUTIN TRYING TO INVADE UKRAINE AGAIN? WHAT IS HIS MOTIVE?
Putin is planning to invade Ukraine again because of impunity or a sense of insecurity that he has for the Western Powers. He has experience previously that the Western Powers can sanction many controls which will be against Russia, as they already showed their attitude towards Russia during the US Presidential Election in 2020.
Putin has seen that some Western Politicians have an intention to align with the Russian Powers. However, Putin thinks that these alliances can help prevent the Western Powers to launch a Unified Front to Putin.
Putin visualizes Ukraine as the Power of Influence within the Russian Realm, rather than it being an Independent State.
This is the reason that Putin is trying to prevent Ukraine from joining NATO or the EU but to be under Russian Dominance.
Putin is also trying to use Ukraine as an ally for Western powers to help lift their sanctions, since the U.S. has various political and financial sanctions against Russia and an attack on Ukraine, and trying to bring her under the Russian Control can help in bringing over these benefits which Putin is trying to seek.
However, might be the case that Putin would not declare war against the Ukrainian Powers, but he might annex some parts of the Provinces, fulfilling his motive.
US is most likely to get into this conflict between Russia and Ukraine because of the commitment that the US had with Russia, about protecting Ukraine’s interests, but now Russia is trying to break through it.